Is it better to invest in SPY or QQQ?
SPY has the advantage in expense ratio with 0.09% compared to an expense ratio of 0.20% for QQQ. While the number seems small when you look at both numbers, the difference is quite significant since QQQ's expense ratio is twice that of QQQ.
QQQ is better for bullish big tech-buyers
Unlike SPY, it requires more faith in the resurgence of Big Tech and offers little else to buoy share prices during a Recession (Consumer Discretionary also tumbles during a bleak market).
Invesco QQQ β the ETF that tracks the Nasdaq-100 index β has beaten the S&P 500 nine out of the last 10 years. Source: Morningstar Inc.
In the past year, QQQ returned a total of 38.70%, which is significantly higher than SPY's 28.09% return. Over the past 10 years, QQQ has had annualized average returns of 18.28% , compared to 12.65% for SPY. These numbers are adjusted for stock splits and include dividends.
The QQQ gained 18.1% annually over the past 10 years. That tops all of the nearly 300 ETFs in the category. That easily outpaces the 12.6% average annual gain of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) β the cornerstone of most investors' portfolios. And the QQQ is cheap, only charging 0.2%.
The QQQ ETF offers buy-and-hold investors low expenses and long-term growth potential with enough diversification to avoid the risks of betting on one company. On the downside, long-term investors in QQQ must deal with sector risk, possible overvaluation, and the absence of small caps.
So, if you are looking to own a more diversified basket of stocks, the S&P 500 will be the right fit for you. However, those who are comfortable with the slightly higher risk for the extra returns that investing in Nasdaq 100 based fund might generate will be better off with Nasdaq 100.
Metrics as of Mar 31, 2024 | ||
---|---|---|
1M | 10Y | |
Investment Return (%) | 3.27 | 12.85 |
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details | 3.27 | 9.78 |
US Inflation (%) | 0.00 | 2.80 |
However, given its significant concentration in some of the most important companies today, I'm confident that the QQQ will provide market-beating returns in the future. With a buy-and-hold mindset and a steady cash stream, the QQQ could provide a low-effort way to become a millionaire when you retire.
Invesco QQQ Stock Forecast 2026-2030
These five years would bring an increase: Invesco QQQ price would move from $600 to $975, which is up 63%. Invesco QQQ will start 2026 at $600, then soar to $624 within the first six months of the year and finish 2026 at $667. That means +52% from today.
Is Apple part of SPY or QQQ?
Invesco QQQ is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that features Apple, Google, Microsoft, and more.
Trading and Liquidity β Tie
Both QQQ and SPY have the same trading and liquidity characteristics since they are both ETFs. As ETFs you can buy and sell ETFs throughout the day at any time during market hours.
The Invesco QQQ Trust has crushed the performance of the Ark Innovation ETF in the past five years. Even in record territory, dollar-cost averaging into the Invesco QQQ Trust is a smart move for investors seeking higher returns.
QQQ, QQQM Have the Earnings Goods
The sector exposures found in QQQ and QQQM differ significantly from those found in the S&P 500. As such, the Invesco ETFs are potentially better positioned to capitalize on 2024 EPS growth. βAll 11 sectors are predicted to report year-over-year earnings growth in CY 2024.
The Vanguard 500 Index Fund (VFIAX) is one of the best index funds tracking the S&P 500 index. The Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) is among the best ETFs for the Nasdaq-100 index.
Nearly all leveraged ETFs come with a prominent warning in their prospectus: they are not designed for long-term holding. The combination of leverage, market volatility, and an unfavorable sequence of returns can lead to disastrous outcomes.
The problem for most investors, and why it should probably be avoided by all but a select few, is that it tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, which is quirky at best and highly concentrated in just a few stocks from one sector.
For investors seeking an alternative to QQQ's mega-cap exposure, the Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF (XLG) is an excellent option. XLG tracks the S&P 500 Top 50 Index, which, like QQQ, is heavily weighted towards top-tier tech and consumer stocks.
FUND(TICKER) | EXPENSE RATIO | 10-YEAR RETURN AS OF APRIL 1 |
---|---|---|
Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) | 0.04% | 15.07% |
iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF (IWF) | 0.19% | 15.78% |
iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF (IVW) | 0.18% | 14.34% |
Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF (SCHG) | 0.04% | 15.95% |
AAPL | Apple Inc. Stock Overview (U.S.: Nasdaq) | Barron's.
Why buy ETF instead of index?
ETFs and index mutual funds tend to be generally more tax efficient than actively managed funds. And, in general, ETFs tend to be more tax efficient than index mutual funds. You want niche exposure. Specific ETFs focused on particular industries or commodities can give you exposure to market niches.
ETF | 2024 in % | 2021 in % |
---|---|---|
Amundi Nasdaq-100 II UCITS ETF Acc | + 11.19% | +36.90% |
Invesco EQQQ Nasdaq-100 UCITS ETF Acc | + 11.19% | +37.58% |
iShares Nasdaq 100 UCITS ETF (Acc) | + 11.18% | +37.55% |
Amundi Nasdaq 100 UCITS ETF EUR (C) | + 11.17% | +36.87% |
SPY Dividend Yield: 1.30% for April 5, 2024.
5-Year14.68%13.19%
SPY 12 Months Forecast
Based on 505 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets to SPY holdings in the last 3 months. The average price target is $566.70 with a high forecast of $666.83 and a low forecast of $462.01. The average price target represents a 9.22% change from the last price of $518.84.
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